Market Flogging

Trend trading in the stock market

Friday, December 01, 2006

November totals

Internet has been down for a couple days here in the ol' casa. Back up now.

November was shaping up to be one of the better months of my IRA's life. Then the market took a giant poop on me. It still ended up decent at +1.97%, but I was targeting 4% much of the month and had been flogging the market handily. In the end, though, the DJW5K ended up squeaking out a slim win with a 2.08% month. Bummer. I'd rather lose money and beat the market than make money and lose to the market for some reason;))

Things are not impressive in the trading account just looking at the numbers. I was down a total of 13.64%. And I needed a furious rally yesterday to be that good. My account gained almost 20% yesterday alone. Wheat, Gold and the 30 year bond were all up nicely. All three contracts are in the black, although wheat is hanging by a thread. I wonder just how high the bond can go. The face value is 100K and it is trading close to $115 right now. Rates are in the toilet. Time will tell.

So, even though the loss this month looks horrible (and it ain't great!) I feel pretty good about the trajectory. My account lost only about $1,600 as of yesterday from October 31, and I made up a couple hundred of that today. That could come quick with futures. Yesterday I improved by $1,600 in one day alone.

I need to crunch numbers, but I'm certain the loss is made up of failed daytrading goof-around trades. Those days are over! I'm sure I could learn to be good at day trading, but I have no desire. I really don't enjoy it much at all. It just doesn't fit my personality or my temprement or something.

The IRA has been seeing a lot of chop the last week or so. Positions are being cut ar a more rapid rate than I have been seeing. As (if) this continues, I would expect to see fewer and fewer opportunities out there and I'll maintain a higher cash balance as a percent of the portfolio. Of course, this could also be a choppy consolidation period prior to another move up. Either way, I'll be ready to do the right thing.