Market Flogging

Trend trading in the stock market

Tuesday, October 03, 2006

Flogged By Market

I don't know what the hell happened today. The market was up to an all time high, yet I managed to lose fairly substantially with my longs and win nicely with my shorts. Am I trading the George?

Got a bunch of stuff stopped out, too. I'm seeing significant turnover in the portfolio for some reason. Trends are just busting all over the place.

First up is KLAC:






I don't like losing them when they move back up and close above the trend line, but that's what happened. This wasn't exactly a bottom-looking single stick though. Only a small 1.56% loss.

Next is SBIB:






After 50 days a 1.39% winner. It broke the wrong way out of consolidation and would actually make a pretty decent short here for breakout players.

Next on the exit side is GLG:






Bummer this one. It was making a nice strong move off the trend line just before puking on me.

Last of the exits is in my trading account - ADI:






I bought this one above the prior low, hoping it would hold and form a new trend, but it is making a new low instead. I like these types of stocks because they are often forming a bottom and start trending back up, but not this time. This was a quick 4% loser.

I added one new position to my IRA - HIG:






Nice trend here and a nice tight stop under 3%. Skinny channel on this guy.

I'm keeping track of my "Stop Value" now and it means a bunch more to me than the fair market value of my account. Since I'm not selling at today's prices, why do I care what they are worth? I'm much more interested in what I'd sell for if my stops are hit. Only in rare circumstances like we saw with HET yesterday will I be selling above a stop. Stop Values + Cash = Stop Valuee. I'll report monthly or quarterly (haven't decided which yet) what $10K invested on October 1st with me would be worth on report date. Both FMV and SV will be reported.

Currently, my Stop Values in my IRA average just over 2% loss, while my trading account is a a predictably 4.4% loss as all positions are at their original stops.

Whew! I'm tired of this post.

Oh, one thing. I forgot yesterday to report ORB got kicked out. Small loss on that one. I need to go check and see if anything is left:)

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