Market Flogging

Trend trading in the stock market

Thursday, September 07, 2006

Trend Notes: 9/7/2006, and PWEI Special Report

Let's get straight to the position reports:

OKE: Has formed a resistance level just over 39. May be gathering energy for a breakout attempt.

RAI: We're stuck in a range. I'm hoping for a bounce off 64 and a breakout run towards 66.

CXW: It has been a while since this one showed signs of having a clear direction in mind, but that's sort of how this one operates. With any luck it will follow the pattern and we'll get a decisive move up soon.

TXU: Directionless for a month, but it has improved a bit over the past two bad market days.

HCR: I'm hopeful a foundation is being laid, but it is also possible a downtrend is forming. The leash is short.

LNT: The jury is out - way out. It is still within its uptrend.

SBIB: Either we'll get a double bottom and support at 20, or we'll get stopped out.

CMCSA: Slow mover, but the trend is up.

LTR: Looking for support at the trend line. Time for a leg up.

ORCL: Nice day today. Just managed to break off the trend line to a new high on very nice volume.

DGX: It sure looks like a round bottom is forming. A case could be made for support being established at this level in the middle of August.

SEIC: Volume is picking up on the upleg. The last upleg was very sharp exiting resistance, so we may need two or more attempts at a new high.

Special Report - PWEI:

I'm less than a month into this one, but it is a very interesting stock. I can't wait to see what happens with this one. It just looks for all the world to me like it should really go big.

First, it has a low float (8+ million shares), and it really moves nicely. Second, it recently broke from a long period of consolidation, so it should want to get someplace now. Third, the YOY quarterly growth is huge at 630%. Finally, the short interest is nothing short of amazing at 5.6 million shares. That's 46.5% of shares outstanding and over half the entire float! Either the shorts are right and I'm about to take a bath, or they're wrong and 5.6 million shares will have to be bought to cover. Average volume is only 500K/day! Something has to give. Stay tuned.......

There appear to be some stocks missing from the report. Well, there are some stocks missing from my portfolio!

LH: So much for silver linings, eh! I took a 9.25% gain over 66 days.

PLCM: Huge range today without much progress either direction, but it stopped me out in the process. -4.65% over 17 days.

DRIV: I may have goofed here. I bumped the stop way up based on a pretty iffy move a few days ago. Had I kept my original - and likely proper - stop, I'd still own it. Today was lower, but not a lot lower and it recovered from a deep retreat early in the day. That's not unusual for it. Lesson learned, but it may or may not cost me money.

That's it for today. I have a ton of capital to put to work. I should have cleared funds about Monday.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home